📰We’re back with our first publication of 2026. After stepping back to let the market reveal its hand, it’s time to re-engage and focus on what’s actually changing beneath the surface — not the noise, but the structure.
🎙️The market is slowly shifting from “how high can rates stay?” to “what breaks first if they do.”
Liquidity is tight, volatility is selective, and capital is rotating — not fleeing.
This is a positioning market, not a panic market.
🔎 That lens explains everything below.
🇪🇺EURUSD — Bullish | The Dollar Is Losing Its Grip
The euro isn’t strong — the dollar is weakening.
Markets are increasingly uncomfortable with the US policy outlook. Growth is slowing, fiscal concerns are rising, and confidence in prolonged monetary tightness is fading. Meanwhile, the ECB doesn’t need to do much — stability alone is enough.
📝Why EUR stays bid:
US rate-cut expectations are slowly creeping forward
Dollar credibility is being questioned at the margin
Capital prefers less uncertainty, not higher yield
EURUSD Daily Chart
📈 Technical View:
Bullish impulse remains intact
Price consolidating around the 50% retracement (key equilibrium)
Holding this level keeps higher prices in focus
🔎 What to watch next week: